Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly specifies its resolution mechanism and relies on a definitive, official source.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly specifies its resolution mechanism and relies on a definitive, official source. Resolution is tied directly to the #1 spot on Google's Year in Search United States People list for 2026, accessible via the official Google Trends portal. The rules provide specific navigation instructions to locate the list and set an unambiguous fallback deadline of March 31, 2027, resolving to Other if Google fails to publish the list. The decider has no discretion, as the outcome depends entirely on Google's published ranking.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Zendaya ranks #1 on Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. Note that while the question asks about "this year", the rules explicitly evaluate the 2026 ranking list.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Zendaya is ranked #1 on Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified 2026 list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution may occur as soon as the 2026 list is released, regardless of the navigation procedure used to access it. The deciding authority is Google via its official published Year in Search list.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·