Will Irma Yordana Garay Loredo win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that the named candidate must win the scheduled 2027 gubernatorial election to resolve positively, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that the named candidate must win the scheduled 2027 gubernatorial election to resolve positively, explicitly excluding interim or caretaker appointments. Initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, with an explicit fallback to official election results from the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute if there is any ambiguity. A long resolution window extending through December 31, 2027, provides sufficient time for official certification or legal challenges to conclude.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Irma Yordana Garay Loredo wins the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election. The market has a specific deadline for resolution, after which it will resolve to 'Other' if the results are not definitively known.
How it resolves
This market resolves Yes if Irma Yordana Garay Loredo wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. An interim or caretaker Governor does not qualify as a win for the purpose of this market. This market resolves No if Irma Yordana Garay Loredo does not win the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial election. This market resolves Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves based on official results from Tlaxcala and Mexican government sources, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
a consensus of credible reporting; official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·