Will Marybel Villegas Canché win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market resolves straightforwardly based on who wins the scheduled June 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election.
Read the full assessment
The market resolves straightforwardly based on who wins the scheduled June 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. Initial determination relies on a consensus of credible media reporting, with explicit recourse to official Mexican electoral authorities (the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute) if reporting is ambiguous or contested. Interim and caretaker governors are explicitly excluded, and a generous deadline through the end of 2027 provides ample time for certification and legal disputes.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Marybel Villegas Canché wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. The market's resolution is unusual because it explicitly excludes interim or caretaker governors from qualifying as a win.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Marybel Villegas Canché wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. An interim or caretaker governor does not qualify as a win for this market. The market resolves No if a candidate other than Marybel Villegas Canché wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. The market resolves Other if the election results are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, the market resolves solely based on official results from government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·