Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, focusing on whether the named candidate wins the scheduled June 2027 gubernatorial election in Quintana Roo.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, focusing on whether the named candidate wins the scheduled June 2027 gubernatorial election in Quintana Roo. Interim or caretaker governors are explicitly excluded. Resolution relies primarily on a consensus of credible reporting, with an explicit fallback to official electoral authorities including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico in case of ambiguity. There is a generous backstop date of December 31, 2027, resolving to Other if the outcome remains undetermined, leaving little room for unexpected outcomes.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market explained
This market measures whether Rafael Marín Mollinedo will win the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. Interim or caretaker governors do not qualify.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Rafael Marín Mollinedo wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial election. Any interim or caretaker governor does not qualify. The market resolves to No if another listed candidate wins. The market resolves to "Other" if definitive results are not known by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, resolution is decided solely by official results from government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, or official results from government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·