Will Hsu Chih-chieh win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves clearly based on the outcome of the scheduled November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves clearly based on the outcome of the scheduled November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election. It explicitly discounts temporary, interim, or placeholder appointments made before the election. While initial resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, any ambiguity falls back directly to official election data published by Taiwan's Central Election Commission. A long-stop date of June 30, 2027 provides ample buffer for certification, resolving to Other if no candidate is officially elected by that time.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market explained
This market measures whether Hsu Chih-chieh will win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election scheduled for November 28, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Hsu Chih-chieh becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of the November 28, 2026 election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. The market resolves No if another candidate becomes the next Mayor. The market resolves to Other if the election result is not known or no candidate has been elected by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Taiwanese government's Central Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting, or official results from the Taiwanese government (Central Election Commission)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·