SportsCloses · in 157 days$1.9K volumePart of: 2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion →

Will Virginia win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market resolves cleanly based on whether Virginia wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament.

Read the full assessment

This market resolves cleanly based on whether Virginia wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Official data from the NCAA is the primary authority, eliminating ambiguity around determining the champion. Early resolution to No applies if the team is eliminated from contention or fails to qualify. There is a clear fallback deadline resolving to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past April 19, 2027, or fails to produce a champion in time.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

2%

chance

▼ −1.05 pts · 24h

Yes2¢
No98¢
Virginia · Yes · 1MO 3.3 H 3.5 L 2.2 C 2.2−1.1 (−33.3%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether Virginia will win the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. It includes a specific deadline after which an undeclared, postponed, or cancelled tournament resolves to Other.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Virginia wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball National Championship. The market resolves to No if Virginia is eliminated, fails to qualify, or it becomes impossible for them to win. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past the deadline, or if no champion is declared by April 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution will be determined by official information from the NCAA, or alternatively by a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·