2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
30 live outcomes · highest priced: Duke at 16% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Apr 20, 2027 · $112.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which team will win the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Each market measures the probability of a specific team winning the national championship.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for different teams competing for the title. Because only one team can win the national championship, at most one team's market can resolve to Yes, while the others will resolve to No.
How it resolves
A market will resolve to Yes for the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win—such as through elimination or failure to qualify—its market resolves to No. If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past April 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared within that timeframe, the market will resolve to Other. Resolution is determined by official NCAA information, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary option.
Key dates
- Tournament resolution cutoff: — Tournament must declare a champion by 11:59 PM ET on this date, or the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 16% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Florida | 14% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| UConn | 10% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Illinois | 10% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Michigan State | 8% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Texas Tech | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| UCLA | 5% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Kansas | 5% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Arizona | 4% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med | |
| Texas | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Houston | 3% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Louisville | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Michigan | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Gonzaga | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Virginia | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Arkansas | 3% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Iowa State | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Miami | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| BYU | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Kentucky | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Alabama | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| St. John's | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| North Carolina | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| TCU | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Oklahoma | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Missouri | <1% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Tennessee | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| VCU | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Ohio State | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Oklahoma State | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| USC | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Vanderbilt | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Purdue | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Villanova | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Indiana | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Nebraska | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| West Virginia | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Saint Louis | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Wisconsin | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Oregon | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Iowa | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Providence | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Texas A&M | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Creighton | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Georgia | — | — | Not rated | — |