PolymarketEvent30 live of 45 outcomes

2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

30 live outcomes · highest priced: Duke at 16% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Apr 20, 2027 · $112.8K total volume

About this event

This event tracks which team will win the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. Each market measures the probability of a specific team winning the national championship.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of individual markets for different teams competing for the title. Because only one team can win the national championship, at most one team's market can resolve to Yes, while the others will resolve to No.

How it resolves

A market will resolve to Yes for the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. If it becomes impossible for a listed team to win—such as through elimination or failure to qualify—its market resolves to No. If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past April 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared within that timeframe, the market will resolve to Other. Resolution is determined by official NCAA information, with credible reporting consensus as a secondary option.

Key dates

  • Tournament resolution cutoff: — Tournament must declare a champion by 11:59 PM ET on this date, or the market resolves to Other.

Resolution source

Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for 2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Duke16%▼ 1LowMed
Florida14%▼ 1LowMed
UConn10%▲ 1LowMed
Illinois10%±0LowMed
Michigan State8%±0LowMed
Texas Tech5%±0LowMed
UCLA5%±0LowMed
Kansas5%▼ 1LowMed
Arizona4%▼ 2LowMed
Texas4%±0LowMed
Houston3%▲ 1LowMed
Louisville3%±0LowHigh
Michigan3%▼ 1LowMed
Gonzaga3%±0LowMed
Virginia3%▼ 1LowMed
Arkansas3%±0LowMed
Iowa State2%±0LowMed
Miami2%±0LowMed
BYU2%±0LowMed
Kentucky1%±0LowMed
Alabama1%±0LowMed
St. John's1%±0LowHigh
North Carolina<1%±0LowMed
TCU<1%±0LowLow
Oklahoma<1%±0LowMed
Missouri<1%▼ 1LowMed
Tennessee<1%±0LowLow
VCU<1%±0LowLow
Ohio State<1%±0LowMed
Oklahoma State<1%±0LowMed
USC——Not rated—
Vanderbilt——Not rated—
Purdue——Not rated—
Villanova——Not rated—
Indiana——Not rated—
Nebraska——Not rated—
West Virginia——Not rated—
Saint Louis——Not rated—
Wisconsin——Not rated—
Oregon——Not rated—
Iowa——Not rated—
Providence——Not rated—
Texas A&M——Not rated—
Creighton——Not rated—
Georgia——Not rated—

Highest-priced outcome

Duke · Since Nov 11Range 16–17%