SportsCloses · in 157 days$11.2K volumePart of: 2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion →

Will Louisville win the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the official outcome of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that resolution depends on the official outcome of the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. The market resolves to No as soon as the team is eliminated or fails to qualify, and to Other if the tournament is cancelled or postponed beyond April 19, 2027. Official reporting from the NCAA serves as the primary source, providing clear and verifiable criteria for settlement.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

3%

chance

▼ −0.05 pts · 24h

Yes3¢
No97¢
Louisville · Yes · 1MO 4.5 H 4.5 L 3.3 C 3.3−1.2 (−26.7%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament (the national champion). If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 tournament (e.g., they are eliminated or fail to qualify), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Louisville Cardinals win the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Louisville wins the 2027 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Tournament. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for Louisville to win the tournament, such as by failing to qualify or being eliminated. The market resolves to Other if the tournament is cancelled, postponed past April 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no champion is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NCAA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

Official information from the NCAA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·