Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward and align directly with the question asked.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward and align directly with the question asked. The market settles positively once the candidate wins and formally accepts the official Democratic nomination for president. An explicit clause notes that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to general election day will not alter or undo the resolution, removing potential confusion if post-convention nominee changes occur. Official party announcements and convention outcomes will serve as the deciding record, leaving very little room for dispute.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
4%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Andy Beshear wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. It specifies that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not affect the resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Andy Beshear wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day will not change the market resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·