Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring the candidate to officially win and accept the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring the candidate to officially win and accept the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028. The resolution source relies on official Democratic Party documentation and announcements, leaving minimal room for decider interpretation. The rules also clarify that any subsequent nominee replacement occurring before election day will not retroactively alter the resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
26%
chance▼ −0.6 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Ossoff will win and accept the Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president in 2028. Notably, any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to election day will not alter the market's resolution.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any replacement of the Democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
A consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·