Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria clearly specify that the named individual must both win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria clearly specify that the named individual must both win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources rather than third-party media consensus, which provides a reliable basis for determining the outcome. An explicit clause ensures that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not reverse a resolution once the nomination has occurred.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jon Stewart will win and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in the 2028 election cycle.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Jon Stewart wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if he does not win and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the Democratic nominee prior to election day does not alter the market's resolution. The resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
Consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·