Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution requires the named individual to win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that resolution requires the named individual to win and accept the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. The resolution source relies on official Democratic Party documentation, which formally certifies convention results and leaves minimal room for subjective interpretation. Furthermore, the rules explicitly address potential post-convention changes by stating that any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day will not alter the market resolution.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Andrew Yang wins and accepts the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028. It resolves based solely on who wins and accepts the nomination initially, ignoring any subsequent replacements before election day.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Andrew Yang wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No otherwise. If the Democratic nominee is replaced before election day, it will not change the market's resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
a consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·