Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring the candidate to officially win and accept the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are straightforward, requiring the candidate to officially win and accept the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028. Resolution relies on official Democratic Party sources, which provide clear records of convention voting and acceptance. The rules explicitly clarify that any subsequent replacement of the nominee prior to the general election will not alter the market outcome, ensuring that winning the nomination at the convention is the definitive event.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kim Kardashian will win and accept the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. president.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Kim Kardashian wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president. The market resolves to No if she does not win and accept the nomination. Any subsequent replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution. Resolution is determined by a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Resolution source
a consensus of official Democratic Party sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·