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Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

Gotcha risk

Low

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or his administration announces a permanent replacement for Press Secretary Katie Zacharia before the December 31, 2026 deadline.

Read the full assessment

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or his administration announces a permanent replacement for Press Secretary Katie Zacharia before the December 31, 2026 deadline. The rules explicitly exclude anyone appointed solely in an acting or interim capacity, and they specify that the date of the announcement governs regardless of when the individual officially begins service. While resolution relies on official administration statements, it allows a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source, introducing minor discretion if communication channels report conflicting details.

Resolver: Medium
Timing: Low
Wording: Low
Exceptions: Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 19 Oct 2026, 02:33 UTC

Current price

70%

chance

▼ −3 pts · 24h

Yes70¢

No31¢

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −12 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 03:25 UTC

30 days ago▼ −12 · 13 Nov

The price fell from 81% to 70% as related markets repriced, with the November 30 outcome moving up, which was the likely driver.

Largest hourly change: 06:00 UTC, 73% of the net 24-hour change.
Closes 49 days after the move hour.
1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: November 30 (up).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 03:36 UTC

Earlier

▲ +11 pts · 12 Nov 2026, 03:55 UTCThe price rose from 71% to 82% alongside a simultaneous upward move in related outcome November 30, which served as the likely driver amid no specific news.News check pending.AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 04:05 UTC

Earlier

▲ +14 pts · 7 Nov 2026, 00:10 UTCThe probability rose from 63% to 77% alongside other outcomes for the announcement date repricing together, with the November 30 outcome also moving up.The news search didn't complete, so no catalyst is claimed.AI-generated · 7 Nov 2026, 00:20 UTC

Resolution rules

Captured Oct 16, 2026

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether Donald Trump or his administration announces a new permanent White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2026.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Announcements for an acting or interim Press Secretary do not count. The announcement qualifies regardless of when the individual is sworn in or begins serving. The market resolves to No if no qualifying announcement is made by the deadline. The outcome is decided using official information from the Trump administration, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

Official information from the Trump administration or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 19 Oct 2026, 02:33 UTC