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PoliticsCloses · in 17 days$565.5K volumePart of: Next Press Secretary announced by...? →

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?

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Gotcha risk

Low

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that resolution requires an official announcement of a permanent replacement for the current Press Secretary by the stated deadline, regardless of when the individual officially begins service.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that resolution requires an official announcement of a permanent replacement for the current Press Secretary by the stated deadline, regardless of when the individual officially begins service. Explicitly excluding acting or interim announcements limits potential ambiguity. While resolution allows for a consensus of credible reporting alongside official White House statements, the factual nature of high-profile administration appointments makes disputes over resolution unlikely.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

33%

chance

▼ −12 pts · 24h

Yes33¢
No68¢
November 30 · Yes · 1MO 59.5 H 60.5 L 28.5 C 32.5−27.0 (−45.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −16 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 02:40 UTC

The market fell from 49% to 33% as related timeline outcomes repriced together, with the December 31 market moving in the opposite direction.

  • Largest hourly change: 19:00 UTC, 39% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: December 31 (up).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 02:50 UTC

Earlier

▲ +12 pts · 12 Nov 2026, 03:55 UTCThe probability rose from 37% to 49% alongside related market outcomes, with the December 31 timeline option also moving upward as expectations across dates repriced together.News check pending.AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 04:05 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 20:40 UTCThe market price fell from 50% to 38%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.News check pending.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 20:50 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether Donald Trump or his administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by November 30, 2026.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement qualifies regardless of when the individual is sworn in or begins serving, but an acting or interim Press Secretary does not count. The market resolves to No otherwise. Official information from the Trump administration serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source

Official information from the Trump administration, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·