EconomyCloses · in 17 days$88.9K volumePart of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? →

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features highly specific, deterministic resolution rules tied to a primary data feed.

Read the full assessment

This market features highly specific, deterministic resolution rules tied to a primary data feed. The outcome relies on Pyth 1-minute candle high and low prices for ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures, with precise definitions for active contract months, roll dates, and trading session hours. A named backup source from ICE is specified in the event of data outages, leaving minimal discretion to the resolver.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

11%

chance

▲ +0.5 pts · 24h

Yes11¢
No90¢
↑ $105 · Yes · 1MO 56.0 H 64.5 L 8.5 C 10.5−45.5 (−81.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +13 pts24h · detected 8 Nov 2026, 11:10 UTC

The market rose from 27% to 40% as part of a broader repricing across 6 related crude oil target markets, with higher price targets also moving upward.

  • Largest hourly change: 10:00 UTC, 80% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 22 days after the move hour.
  • 6 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ $80 (down), ↑ $100 (down), ↑ $110 (up).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 8 Nov 2026, 11:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Market explained

This market measures whether ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures reaches a high price of $105 during trading sessions in November 2026, tracked via Pyth 1-minute candle data.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if at any point after creation and during a November 2026 trading session, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) has a final High price equal to or above $105. Prices are taken exactly as published without rounding. The market resolves to No if this threshold is not reached, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the timeframe. The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, shifting to the next contract at the open of the third-to-last trading session. If Pyth data is unavailable due to an outage, official daily high/low prices published by ICE Futures Europe may be used. Resolution is determined by Pyth CLL 1-minute candle data.

Resolution source

Pyth (ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month feed, CLL)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·