Will Michael Olise win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or as announced by France Football and UEFA.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or as announced by France Football and UEFA. Clear contingencies are established for edge cases, including tiebreakers, shared winners, and event cancellations or delays past March 31, 2028, all of which resolve cleanly to 'Other'. While a consensus of credible reporting is permitted as a backup, the official organizers serve as the primary authority, leaving minimal room for ambiguity or dispute.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
10%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Michael Olise wins the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. It includes explicit fallback conditions resolving to "Other" if the award is cancelled, indefinitely delayed, or results in multiple co-winners.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Michael Olise is declared the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, the market resolves according to the official winner determined by France Football and UEFA rules. The market resolves to No if another single individual wins the award. The market resolves to "Other" if multiple winners are announced, or if the award is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or has no winner declared by that time. Official information from France Football and UEFA serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source
France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·