Will Declan Rice win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market is straightforward and resolves based on whether Declan Rice officially wins the 2027 Ballon d'Or.
Read the full assessment
The market is straightforward and resolves based on whether Declan Rice officially wins the 2027 Ballon d'Or. The rules designate the official awarding bodies, France Football and UEFA, as the primary source of truth. Standard contingencies are explicitly handled: if multiple winners are declared or if the ceremony is cancelled or delayed past March 31, 2028, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open indefinitely. While a consensus of credible reporting is permitted as a backup source, the outcome of the Ballon d'Or is universally public and unambiguous, leaving very little room for interpretive discrepancy.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Declan Rice wins the Ballon d'Or award for the year 2027. It includes explicit fallback provisions that trigger an 'Other' resolution if multiple winners are declared or if the award is delayed beyond a specified cutoff date.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Declan Rice is named the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or award according to France Football and UEFA rules. In the event of a tie, it resolves to the official winner determined by those rules. The market resolves to Other if multiple winners are announced. The market also resolves to Other if the award is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The resolution source is official information from France Football and UEFA, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source
France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·