Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or as announced by the organizers, France Football and UEFA.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2027 Ballon d'Or as announced by the organizers, France Football and UEFA. The rules provide a clear backstop date of March 31, 2028, resolving to 'Other' if the event is cancelled or significantly delayed. While the rules permit using a consensus of credible reporting alongside official organizers, official results for this award are public and definitive, leaving minimal room for surprise.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Ballon d'Or award for the 2027 Ballon d'Or. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by France Football and UEFA rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Achraf Hakimi will win the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. It includes specific provisions resolving to 'Other' if multiple winners are declared or if the award is cancelled or delayed past the deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to the player who wins the 2027 Ballon d'Or award. In the event of a tie, it resolves according to the official winner determined by France Football and UEFA rules. The market resolves to 'Other' if multiple winners are announced. The market also resolves to 'Other' if the 2027 Ballon d'Or is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution will be determined using official information from France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from France Football and UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·