Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features simple and clear conditions based on the standard outcome of an NFL game.
Read the full assessment
This market features simple and clear conditions based on the standard outcome of an NFL game. The criteria specify that the Bengals must win by 3 or more points (accounting for overtime) to resolve as Bengals, otherwise resolving to Steelers. Postponement and cancellation contingencies are explicitly defined, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or surprise.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
59%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Steelers and Bengals, scheduled for November 15 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bengals" if the Bengals win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Steelers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Cincinnati Bengals will cover a 2.5-point spread against the Pittsburgh Steelers in their scheduled NFL game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Bengals if the Bengals win the game by 3 or more points. Overtime is included if played. The market resolves to Steelers if the Bengals do not win by at least 3 points, which includes a Steelers victory or a Bengals win by 2 or fewer points. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·