Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market specifies a precise measurement time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming actively and publicly tradable, with a clear fallback resolving to No if no token launches by December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market specifies a precise measurement time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following the token becoming actively and publicly tradable, with a clear fallback resolving to No if no token launches by December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is vaguely defined as the most liquid price source available rather than a named price aggregator, exchange, or on-chain oracle. This leaves room for interpretation regarding how trading liquidity is measured (such as 24-hour volume, order book depth, or specific venue listings) and where official total supply figures are sourced to calculate the fully diluted valuation.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the Ink token exceeds $500 million one calendar day after it launches and becomes publicly tradable.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than $500M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $500M at that time, or if Ink does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The valuation is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·