Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the cutoff time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate expiry of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the cutoff time of 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch and provide an ultimate expiry of December 31, 2026. However, resolution depends on the most liquid price source available without naming a specific platform, exchange, or market data provider such as CoinGecko or CoinMarketCap. Additionally, the rules do not specify how total token supply will be officially verified to calculate the Fully Diluted Valuation, which leaves room for interpretation if different platforms report conflicting supply figures or token prices at the exact measurement snapshot.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▼ −1.4 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ink's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ink (http://inkonchain.com/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of the Ink token exceeds $3 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its public launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of the Ink token is greater than $3 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A token launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not greater than $3 billion at that time. The market also resolves to No if Ink does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The deciding source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·