Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official registry or specific primary source, giving the market decider significant discretion over which news outlets qualify.
Read the full assessment
Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than an official registry or specific primary source, giving the market decider significant discretion over which news outlets qualify. The definition of a meeting requires both parties to be present and interact in person, which leaves room for interpretation around brief greetings, photo opportunities, or incidental contact at larger public or private events.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
86%
chance▲ +1.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump meets in person with Mark Carney by November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Mark Carney and Donald Trump meet between market creation and November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting is defined as any encounter where both individuals are present and interact with each other in person. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·