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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$217.4K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?

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Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution metric.

Read the full assessment

The rules are clearly defined with an objective resolution metric. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle Low prices for the Binance BTC/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on the first day and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. The market resolves to Yes immediately upon hitting or dropping below $67,500, and explicitly excludes other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot data.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

73%

chance

▲ +41.5 pts · 24h

Yes73¢
No28¢
↓ 67,500 · Yes · 1MO 25.5 H 89.0 L 11.5 C 72.5+47.0 (+184.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +51 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 13:25 UTC

The price rose from 29% to 81%. A 0.69% drop in Bitcoin on Binance during the move hour brought it closer to the $67,500 level, the likely driver making a November dip more probable.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 50% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −1.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 9 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 75,000 (down), ↓ 70,000 (up), ↓ 65,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:05 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTCThe market fell from 37% to 26% alongside 9 related Bitcoin target markets repricing together, the likely driver of the move.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:50 UTC

Earlier

▲ +10 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 17:10 UTCThe price rose from 29% to 40%. Bitcoin fell 1.6% on Binance during the hour of the move, bringing it closer to the $67,500 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 17:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $67,500 or lower during November. Resolution relies solely on 1-minute candle Low prices from Binance's BTC/USDT pair, disregarding prices from all other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $67,500 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or falls below $67,500 during that timeframe. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle price data, excluding other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·