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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$221.7K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria with a single designated resolution source.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear, objective criteria with a single designated resolution source. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data over the specified calendar month in Eastern Time. The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle registers a Low price of $62,500 or lower, and defaults to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion or reliance on other exchanges.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

28%

chance

▲ +17 pts · 24h

Yes28¢
No72¢
↓ 62,500 · Yes · 1MO 11.5 H 35.5 L 5.5 C 28.5+17.0 (+147.8%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +20 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 03:10 UTC

The market price rose from 11% to 32% as Bitcoin fell 1.18% in the hour and dropped 4.82% across the wider window, making a dip to $62,500 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 43% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −4.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 10 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 75,000 (down), ↓ 67,500 (up), ↓ 70,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 04:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin falls to $62,500 or lower on Binance during the month of November.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance has a final Low price equal to or lower than $62,500 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or breaches that threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart Low price data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·