SportsCloses · in 14 hours$774 volumePart of: Norway vs. Wales →

Will Wales win on 2026-11-14?

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on whether Wales wins their UEFA Nations League match against Norway.

Read the full assessment

The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on whether Wales wins their UEFA Nations League match against Norway. Resolution is confined strictly to regular time plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time). Official match information from UEFA is designated as the primary source, with an explicit fallback hierarchy (Flashscore, Sofascore, then consensus reporting) if official data is delayed. Rescheduling and abandonment conditions are exhaustively detailed, establishing that any outcome not definitively completed or officially awarded by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET will resolve to No.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

8%

chance
Yes8¢
No93¢
Wales · Yes · 1MO 7.5 H 7.5 L 7.5 C 7.5±0.0 (+0.0%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Norway and Wales, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Wales wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If a result is awarded by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that determines this market's outcome, this market will resolve based on the awarded result, regardless of the score as played. If no such result is awarded and the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".

Market explained

This market measures whether Wales will win their UEFA Nations League match against Norway. It only considers the outcome after regular play plus stoppage time (90 minutes plus injury time).

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Wales wins the match against Norway within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The market resolves to No if Wales does not win, including if the match ends in a draw or a loss for Wales. The market also resolves to No if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, is abandoned without an official result by that time, or if no acceptable resolution data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion. Resolution is decided using official match information from UEFA Nations League. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of conclusion, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting may be used as fallbacks. Revisions made after resolution are disregarded.

Resolution source

UEFA Nations League

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·