Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single definitive financial data provider or official exchange feed.
Read the full assessment
Resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single definitive financial data provider or official exchange feed. Market capitalization calculations can vary across outlets depending on share classes included, foreign exchange conversion rates, and whether free-float or total shares outstanding are used. Because global stock exchanges close at different times across time zones, the exact reference point for market close on November 30, 2026, involves discretion if values between leading global firms are close.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Saudi Aramco will rank as the world's largest company by market capitalization as of market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Saudi Aramco is the largest company in the world by market cap at market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if another company holds the largest market cap at that time. The resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·