Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules set a clear cutoff date and time of market close on November 30, 2026, but do not specify a primary financial data feed or standardized methodology for calculating market capitalization.
Read the full assessment
The rules set a clear cutoff date and time of market close on November 30, 2026, but do not specify a primary financial data feed or standardized methodology for calculating market capitalization. Instead, resolution depends on evaluating a consensus of credible reporting. While the top global companies by market cap are widely tracked, discrepancies can occasionally emerge between tracking platforms regarding share share counts, share classes, or foreign exchange conversions, leaving room for interpretation by the decider.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Microsoft will hold the highest market capitalization among all companies globally as of the market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Microsoft is the largest company in the world by market capitalization at market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves No if any other company holds the largest market capitalization at that time. The resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·