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Tech & ScienceCloses · in 17 days$123.4K volumePart of: Largest Company end of November 2026? →

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?

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Gotcha risk

Medium

1 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The condition for resolution is straightforward, targeting market capitalization at the close of trading on November 30, 2026.

Read the full assessment

The condition for resolution is straightforward, targeting market capitalization at the close of trading on November 30, 2026. However, no specific financial data provider or exchange source is named to supply the official market cap figures. Instead, resolution relies entirely on a consensus of credible reporting, leaving room for interpretation if multiple top companies have closely matched market capitalizations on that date across different data providers.

Resolver
High
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

94%

chance

▼ −0.9 pts · 24h

Yes94¢
No6¢
Apple · Yes · 1MO 70.0 H 97.1 L 70.0 C 94.2+24.2 (+34.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +11 pts24h · detected 9 Nov 2026, 06:40 UTC

The probability of Apple being the largest company rose from 74% to 85% as outcomes repriced together across related markets, with NVIDIA moving down over the same period as a likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 01:00 UTC, 27% of the net 24-hour change.
  • Closes 21 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: NVIDIA (down).

News check pending.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 06:50 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Market explained

This market measures whether Apple holds the largest market capitalization in the world as of market close on November 30, 2026.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Apple is the largest company in the world by market cap as of market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if another company holds the largest market cap at that time. The resolution will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

Consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·