Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a specific financial database or authoritative index.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting rather than a specific financial database or authoritative index. Calculating market capitalization for a privately held firm like SpaceX relies on private secondary sales or estimated funding rounds rather than live exchange pricing, which introduces ambiguity compared to standard public equities. Furthermore, there is no designated method specified for converting foreign market caps into a common currency at market close. Position holders must rely on the resolver's subjective interpretation of media reports rather than a single definitive valuation source.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether SpaceX will hold the highest market capitalization in the world as of market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if SpaceX is the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The market resolves to No if another company holds the largest market cap at that time. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·