Will TSMC be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market depends on market capitalization rankings on a specific date, but it does not specify a single standardized financial database or index provider (such as Bloomberg, FactSet, or S&P) to determine market caps and foreign exchange conversion rates.
Read the full assessment
This market depends on market capitalization rankings on a specific date, but it does not specify a single standardized financial database or index provider (such as Bloomberg, FactSet, or S&P) to determine market caps and foreign exchange conversion rates. Instead, resolution relies entirely on a consensus of credible reporting, leaving room for interpretation if figures differ across financial media outlets or data providers. Additionally, comparing global companies listed across different time zones on a single calendar day can introduce minor valuation timing discrepancies at their respective market closes.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) will hold the highest market capitalization globally at market close on November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if TSMC is the largest company in the world by market cap as of market close on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if any other company holds the largest market cap at that time. A consensus of credible reporting will decide the outcome.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·