Spread: Auburn (-4.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines a straightforward point spread for a specific college football game.
Read the full assessment
The market defines a straightforward point spread for a specific college football game. It clearly specifies that Auburn must win by 5 or more points to resolve as Auburn, with all other final score outcomes resolving to Mississippi State. Clear fallback rules are provided with a specific deadline (November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET) for cancellation or abandonment, resolving 50-50 if no official result is established. While the rules refer to 'listed resolution sources' without explicitly detailing the exact official box score provider in the text, sports game outcomes of this nature are public, objective, and leave little room for decider interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
42%
chance▲ +0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Auburn and Mississippi State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mississippi State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Auburn covers a 4.5-point spread against Mississippi State in their college football game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Auburn if Auburn wins the game by 5 or more points. The market resolves to Mississippi State otherwise. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, unless the outcome was already definitively determined by the listed resolution sources before abandonment.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·