Spread: Kentucky (-3.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria for this point spread market are straightforward and unambiguous: Kentucky covering -3.5 requires a win by 4 or more points, while any other outcome resolves to Florida.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria for this point spread market are straightforward and unambiguous: Kentucky covering -3.5 requires a win by 4 or more points, while any other outcome resolves to Florida. The rules include explicit rescheduling provisions with a clear cutoff deadline of Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, resolving 50-50 if the game is canceled or abandoned without an official result. While the rules reference listed resolution sources without naming a specific statistical provider or governing body in the text, final college football scores are standardized and publicly verifiable, leaving minimal room for decider interpretation.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
47%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Kentucky, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Kentucky" if Kentucky win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Florida". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kentucky covers a 3.5-point spread against Florida in their scheduled college football game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Kentucky if Kentucky wins the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, the market resolves to Florida. If the outcome was definitively determined before abandonment, that outcome stands. If the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·