Spread: Boise State (-13.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market establishes a standard point-spread condition: Boise State must win by at least 14 points, otherwise the market resolves to Oregon State.
Read the full assessment
This market establishes a standard point-spread condition: Boise State must win by at least 14 points, otherwise the market resolves to Oregon State. Although the rules refer to listed resolution sources without explicitly naming them in the text, sports game outcomes are public and objective with minimal interpretive leeway. Clear contingency clauses are provided for cancellations, delays beyond November 16, 2026, or game abandonment, resolving the market 50-50 if no official outcome is reached.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
56%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Oregon State and Boise State, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Boise State" if Boise State win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Oregon State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome of the college football game between Oregon State and Boise State, specifically whether Boise State covers a 13.5-point spread.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Boise State if Boise State wins the game by 14 or more points. The market resolves to Oregon State if Boise State does not win by 14 or more points. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned without an official result by that time, unless the outcome was already definitively determined before abandonment. The rules do not name a specific deciding source.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·