Spread: Air Force (-10.5)
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines clear mathematical criteria for resolution, requiring Air Force to win by 11 or more points for an Air Force outcome, with all other game results resolving to San Jose State.
Read the full assessment
The market defines clear mathematical criteria for resolution, requiring Air Force to win by 11 or more points for an Air Force outcome, with all other game results resolving to San Jose State. The rules refer to listed resolution sources without explicitly naming a specific official sports body or data provider, though official final scores in college football are widely published and unambiguous. Clear fallback provisions define a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled, postponed past November 16, 2026, or abandoned without an official result.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
54%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between San Jose State and Air Force, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Air Force" if Air Force win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Jose State". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Air Force covers a point spread of -10.5 against San Jose State in their college football game scheduled for November 14, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Air Force if Air Force wins the game by 11 or more points. The market resolves to San Jose State if Air Force does not win by at least 11 points. If the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50, unless the outcome was already definitively determined by the resolution sources prior to abandonment.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·