Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market establishes a clear mathematical threshold for a standard sporting event, resolving to North Dakota State if they win by 8 or more points and to Hawai'i otherwise.
Read the full assessment
This market establishes a clear mathematical threshold for a standard sporting event, resolving to North Dakota State if they win by 8 or more points and to Hawai'i otherwise. The conditions explicitly address game delays or cancellations with a specific deadline of Monday, November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, resolving 50-50 if no official result is achieved by that time. While the text refers generally to listed resolution sources, standard official game results leave minimal room for interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
46%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Hawai'i, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hawai'i". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether North Dakota State covers a -7.5 point spread against Hawai'i in their college football game originally scheduled for November 14, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to North Dakota State if North Dakota State wins the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, the market resolves to Hawai'i. If the game's outcome was definitively determined under the rules by the resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome stands. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·