Spread: North Dakota State (-4.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final score difference in the designated college football matchup.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution based on the final score difference in the designated college football matchup. North Dakota State covers the spread with a win by 5 points or more, while any other outcome—such as a smaller win, a tie, or a loss—resolves to Hawai'i. Clear timing and abandonment provisions are detailed, specifying a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled or fails to complete by the explicit deadline.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
59%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between North Dakota State and Hawai'i, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "North Dakota State" if North Dakota State win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Hawai'i". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures the point spread outcome for the college football game between North Dakota State and Hawai'i. It includes a specific 50-50 resolution provision if the game is canceled, delayed past a deadline, or abandoned without an official result.
How it resolves
The market resolves to North Dakota State if North Dakota State wins the game by 5 or more points. The market resolves to Hawai'i in all other game outcome scenarios, including a Hawai'i win or a North Dakota State win by 4 points or fewer. The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, unless the outcome was already definitively determined before abandonment. The rules do not specify a deciding source.
Resolution source
No resolution source is identified in this explainer.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·