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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$90.1K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market provides unambiguous and objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market provides unambiguous and objective resolution criteria. It relies strictly on a single, specified data source: Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair. The timeframe is clearly defined as running from the creation of the market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. The threshold is explicitly defined as reaching a final High price equal to or greater than $77,500. There are no competing sources, fallback rules, or discretionary reporting standards to interpret.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

18%

chance

▼ −33.5 pts · 24h

Yes18¢
No83¢
↑ 77,500 · Yes · 1MO 82.5 H 85.5 L 12.0 C 17.5−65.0 (−78.8%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −30 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:55 UTC

The market price dropped from 58% to 32% as part of a broader repricing across 10 related Bitcoin target markets moving together, with 6 falling alongside it.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 44% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +0.6% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 10 related outcomes moved in the same window, 6 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,500 (down), ↓ 70,000 (down), ↓ 67,500 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 20:20 UTC

Earlier

▲ +12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 16:40 UTCThe market rose from 49% to 61% as Bitcoin climbed 0.57% during the hour and 1.52% over 24 hours on Binance, bringing the price within 4.74% of the $77,500 target and making reaching the level more likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:50 UTC

Earlier

▼ −12 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:10 UTCThe odds dropped from 65% to 53% as Bitcoin fell 1.6% on Binance during the hour, making reaching $77,500 in November less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high of at least $77,500 during November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance's BTC/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair reaches a final High price of $77,500 or higher between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that price by the deadline. Price action before market creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets do not count. The deciding source is Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·