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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$55.8K volumePart of: What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, verifiable data point.

Read the full assessment

The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, verifiable data point. The outcome depends entirely on whether any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a High price at or above $80,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The specific URL, trading pair, and chart timeframe are defined, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

10%

chance

▼ −18 pts · 24h

Yes10¢
No91¢
↑ 80,000 · Yes · 1MO 58.0 H 62.5 L 6.5 C 9.5−48.5 (−83.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −21 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 12:10 UTC

The market price fell from 34% to 19%. Bitcoin declined 0.6% on Binance during the move hour and 1.3% over the window, making reaching $80,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 40% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −1.3% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,500 (down), ↑ 75,000 (up), ↑ 77,500 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 17:36 UTC

Earlier

▼ −21 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 15:40 UTCThe market fell from 50% to 31% as Bitcoin dropped 1.6% on Binance during the hour of the move, making reaching $80,000 less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:07 UTC

Earlier

▼ −11 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 05:10 UTCThe market probability fell from 58% to 47% as Bitcoin dropped 2.12% on Binance in the hour of the move, making reaching $80,000 less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 05:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) reaches a high price of at least $80,000 on Binance during November. Resolution relies solely on the specified Binance 1-minute candle high data, excluding other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $80,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action occurring before the market's creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high price data decides the resolution.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·