Spread: Oregon (-11.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define a standard point spread outcome for the college football game, specifying that Oregon must win by 12 or more points to resolve in their favor, while all other outcomes resolve to Michigan.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define a standard point spread outcome for the college football game, specifying that Oregon must win by 12 or more points to resolve in their favor, while all other outcomes resolve to Michigan. A specific cutoff time covers delays or cancellations with a 50-50 resolution clause. While the text refers to listed resolution sources without explicitly naming them in the excerpt, official college football game scores are universally verifiable and leave virtually no room for subjective interpretation or ambiguity.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
47%
chance▼ −2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Michigan and Oregon, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game by 12 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Michigan". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market explained
This market measures whether Oregon defeats Michigan by at least 12 points in their college football matchup.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Oregon if Oregon wins the game by 12 or more points. The market resolves to Michigan if Michigan wins, the game ends in a tie, or Oregon wins by 11 or fewer points. If the outcome was definitively determined before abandonment, that outcome stands. Otherwise, the market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time. The rules refer to listed resolution sources for official determination.
Resolution source
Listed resolution sources
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·