Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 9-15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify an objective threshold, an exact time window with timezone (12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15), and a single definitive resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices).
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify an objective threshold, an exact time window with timezone (12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15), and a single definitive resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices). Early resolution triggers immediately upon hitting the $80,000 threshold on the specified chart, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation or administrative discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −2.35 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin reaches $80,000 between November 9 and November 15. Resolution is based solely on 1-minute candle high prices from Binance's BTC/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $80,000 between 12:00 AM ET on November 9 and 11:59 PM ET on November 15. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; prices from other trading pairs, other exchanges, or spot markets are excluded.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·