Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 November 9-15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has well-defined and objective resolution mechanics.
Read the full assessment
This market has well-defined and objective resolution mechanics. It relies exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with an explicit URL and timeframe specified from 12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15. The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle's final Low price hits or dips below $60,000, and resolves to No otherwise. There is no discretion left to external consensus or multiple ambiguous feeds, though participants should be aware that flash wicks or exchange-specific pricing on Binance govern the outcome regardless of other market averages.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.25 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $60,000 or lower on Binance between November 9 and November 15.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $60,000 between 12:00 AM ET on November 9, 2026, and 11:59 PM ET on November 15, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during that window. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low price data, excluding prices from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·