Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium3 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines the valuation calculation as total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, resolving to No if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The market defines the valuation calculation as total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, resolving to No if no launch occurs by December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is vaguely specified as 'the most liquid price source available' without naming a specific exchange or tracking aggregator, requiring judgment to identify the decisive price feed. Additionally, determining what precise moment establishes the launch day could introduce friction if trading starts near midnight in the relevant timezone.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Medium
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Hyperbeat's token achieves a fully diluted valuation (FDV) above $400M one day after launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the fully diluted valuation of Hyperbeat's token is greater than $400M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV does not exceed $400M at that time, or if Hyperbeat does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·