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CryptoCloses · in 2 days$14.1K volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 16? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 16?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It identifies an exact timestamp (the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 16), an unambiguous exchange and pair (Binance BTC/USDT), and a direct metric (the final Close price). The outcome is strictly determined by whether that numeric close price exceeds $68,000, leaving no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

68%

chance

▼ −28.8 pts · 24h

Yes68¢
No32¢
68,000 · Yes · 1MO 94.7 H 98.0 L 51.8 C 68.0−26.6 (−28.1%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −45 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 00:55 UTC

The market fell from 98% to 52%. Bitcoin declined 1.2% on Binance during the move hour and 3.6% over 24 hours, pulling price further below the $68,000 target and acting as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 56% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.2% in the move hour, −3.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: 72,000 (down), 74,000 (down), 76,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $68,000 at a specific minute on November 16. Resolution relies strictly on a single 1-minute candle from Binance's BTC/USDT pair rather than a broader market index or continuous daily high.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 16, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $68,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is $68,000 or lower. Resolution is determined strictly by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, with price precision following the decimal places provided by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·