Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 16?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, verifiable data point.
Read the full assessment
The resolution criteria are clearly specified and rely on an objective, verifiable data point. Resolution is determined strictly by the closing price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 16 directly on Binance. A specific URL and charting settings are provided, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $78,000 on November 16, specifically referencing the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at a single 1-minute candle rather than an aggregate or average across exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 16, 2026, has a final Close price strictly greater than $78,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $78,000. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart, disregarding prices from other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by Binance.
Resolution source
Binance (BTC/USDT 1m candle Close price)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·