Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in November?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide detailed technical specifications, pointing to Pyth 1-minute candle high/low prices for ICE WTI futures (ticker CLL) and establishing clear contract roll mechanics.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide detailed technical specifications, pointing to Pyth 1-minute candle high/low prices for ICE WTI futures (ticker CLL) and establishing clear contract roll mechanics. However, there is a material wording discrepancy regarding the year: the question text asks about 'November' generally, while the detailed resolution rules explicitly limit the window to 'November 2026'. Participants looking only at the question title might assume the market applies to the current calendar year's November rather than November 2026. Aside from this title-versus-text gap, the resolution parameters, official fallback sources, and trading-hour definitions are clear and rely on automated, objective price data with minimal decider discretion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
78%
chance▲ +16 pts · 24h
Why it moved
A big move was detected in the last 7 days. No explanation is available for it yet.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures reaches a high price of $90 or higher during trading sessions in November 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) records a final High price of $90 or higher during a trading session of November 2026. Only prices during applicable trading sessions on business days count, without rounding. The market resolves to No if the price threshold is not reached during the specified timeframe, or if the Active Month contract does not trade at all. Pyth is the primary resolution source. If Pyth data is disrupted or unavailable, official daily high/low prices published by ICE Futures Europe serve as the fallback source.
Resolution source
Pyth (ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month data, symbol CLL)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·