SportsCloses · in 93 days$74.2 volumePart of: Last song at 2027 Big Game Halftime Show? →

Will "Crazy in Love" be played last at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

Gotcha risk

Medium

2 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules require a performer to sing at least some of the lyrics of the song during the performance to count as played.

Read the full assessment

The rules require a performer to sing at least some of the lyrics of the song during the performance to count as played. However, halftime shows frequently feature medleys, samples, instrumentals, or overlapping tracks, which can create ambiguity about where one song ends and another begins or whether brief lyrical interpolations qualify as the final song. Resolution relies on broadcast footage supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single official setlist authority, leaving some room for interpretation if reporting is mixed or track transitions are debated.

Resolver
Medium
Timing
Low
Wording
Medium
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

8%

chance
Yes8¢
No92¢
Crazy in Love · Yes · 1MO 13.4 H 13.4 L 8.1 C 8.1−5.3 (−39.9%)

Why it moved

No big moves in the last 7 days.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the last song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market explained

This market measures whether "Crazy in Love" is the final song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show in 2027.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if "Crazy in Love" is the last song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show. To qualify as played, a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of the song during the event. The market resolves to No if a different song is the last one played. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined primarily using footage of the halftime show, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source

Footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·