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CryptoCloses · in 3 days$100.8 volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 17? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 17?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market provides precise and objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market provides precise and objective resolution criteria. It specifies the exact exchange (Binance), trading pair (BTC/USDT), timeframe (1-minute candle), and timestamp (closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 17) along with the specific metric (candle Close price) and URL to be used. Because a single, programmatic data point from a defined source determines the outcome with no discretion or complex exception rules, the resolution mechanics are straightforward and unambiguous.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

5%

chance

▼ −37.45 pts · 24h

Yes5¢
No95¢
74,000 · Yes · 1MO 45.5 H 59.5 L 3.0 C 5.0−40.5 (−88.9%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −40 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:40 UTC

The market price dropped from 51% to 7% as Bitcoin fell 0.6% on Binance during the move hour (and 0.71% over 24 hours), reducing the probability of BTC holding above the $74,000 threshold.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 52% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 5 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 72,000 (up), 76,000 (up), 78,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 04:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $74,000 on November 17. Resolution relies strictly on the close price of a specific single-minute candle on Binance rather than a daily average or data from other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 17 has a final Close price strictly higher than $74,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or lower than $74,000. Only the Binance BTC/USDT pair counts; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are disregarded. Price precision matches the decimal places provided by the source. Binance serves as the sole resolution source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·