Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 18?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria with very little ambiguity.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria with very little ambiguity. Resolution is determined by a single named source (Binance BTC/USDT) evaluating a precise metric: the close price of the 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 18. There is no decider discretion or complex exceptional clauses, though participants should be aware that the price is tied strictly to the specified Binance pair rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
7%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $74,000 on November 18, 2026, measured specifically at a single 1-minute candle on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 18 has a final Close price strictly greater than $74,000. It resolves to No if the closing price is equal to or less than $74,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs do not count. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·