Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market clearly outlines the calculation for Fully Diluted Valuation, exact timing benchmarks (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch), and a definitive expiration date.
Read the full assessment
The market clearly outlines the calculation for Fully Diluted Valuation, exact timing benchmarks (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch), and a definitive expiration date. However, the resolution relies on 'the most liquid price source available' without specifying a designated data aggregator, exchange, or on-chain pair. This introduces moderate discretion, as different decentralized or centralized venues can show divergent prices and liquidity metrics at a specific minute, especially for newly launched tokens.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Pacifica's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Pacifica's token reaches a Fully Diluted Valuation above $1B exactly one day after launch, defined specifically as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Pacifica's token is greater than $1B at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched, and FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $1B at that time, or if Pacifica does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The price is determined using the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·